From Bacon to Graham to Simons: The Evolution of Scientific Investing
Bacon laid the groundwork for systematic analysis. Graham introduced discipline to investing. Simons perfected empirical, AI-driven strategies. Today, advisors must follow in their footsteps by adopting data science, statistical modeling, and AI-driven decision-making.
Bacon’s Four Idols and the Investment Industry
Investors believe they make rational decisions, yet markets are driven by emotion and speculation. Francis Bacon identified The Four Idols—cognitive traps that distort reasoning. These biases mislead investors and impact decision-making.
Introducing The Profit Map™
This model provides professional advisors with a structured framework to assess the feasibility of achieving targeted investment returns based on revenue growth assumptions, valuation multiples, and profitability expectations. Below is an interpretation of the data and how an advisor can use this technology to improve decision-making.
Decker Outdoor Corporation Report – January 31, 2025
These charts tell a heck of a story about Equity Risk Sciences and the market in general. Our system at Equity Risk Sciences dates back to the 80s. We rate over 15,000 companies on every trading day for over 35 years.
How NPV Works & Why an NPV Analysis is Critical for Investors
Net Present Value (NPV) is one of the most important tools for evaluating whether a stock is overvalued, undervalued, or fairly priced. It helps investors determine whether they are buying a stock with a high probability of profit—or one that is overpriced and likely to decline.
Manhattan Associates Report – January 29, 2025
On 12/12/2024, MANH closed at $309.78. On that date, ERS’s V1™ rating was 100, the PRI™ was 99, and the FRR™ was 94. ERS’s eValuation™ rating was -142. Manhattan Associates closed today at $222.84. It fell 28.1% on the past 48 days.
JetBlue Report
Today, JetBlue (JBLU)’s stock price fell -25%. We’re using JetBlue as an example of the accuracy and value of ERS’s proprietary risk and performance ratings to RIAs, fiduciaries and institutional investors.
Understanding NVDA’s Market Valuation – The Laws to Protect Capital
This report aims to provide an in-depth analysis of NVIDIA's (NVDA) current market valuation, comparing its financial outlook with historical data and market trends. The purpose is to educate optimistic investors about the fundamental principles of investing, grounded in rationality, historical context, and financial data.
Agilysys Report
When we received updated financial statements for Agilysys on 11/15/2024, all of ERS’s risk ratings immediately and significantly changed to reflect the much higher level of risk.
The ERS Fiduciary Test™ – Seven Steps to Honoring Your Duty
Fiduciaries must answer seven key questions about a company’s financial condition before investing. A fiduciary’s duty is to protect client interests, avoiding speculative decisions that could jeopardize financial security.