Equity Risk Sciences’ Risk Ratings help asset managers protect and grow capital safer, faster, more consistently and more profitably. Equity Risk Sciences employs mathematics and data science to measure the probability and magnitude of future price gains or losses.
Passive investing Is very risky. The S&P 500 has had long periods with poor returns or no returns.
“People...Want an authority to tell them how to value things, but they chose this authority (Goldman Sachs & Morgan Stanley) not based on facts or... Results; they chose who to trust because they seemed authoritative... Or familiar! And... I’m not, and never have been... familiar.” --Michael J. Burry, MD
If you know what you're looking for, you have a higher probability of finding it. So what are we looking for? As fiduciaries, we're looking for companies with a low probability of falling and a higher probability of rising.
Why Use Math in Investing? Math helps us estimate how much a stock might be worth in the future. Without math, investment results can be no better than random. Successful investing requires a deep understanding of the causes of gains and losses. Valuation metrics are vital predictors of stock price gains and losses.
Equity Risk Sciences provides big-data investment analytics. We measure and rate the statistical probability, magnitude, and timing of future stock price movements. We build Technology for Investment Excellence.
ERS’s FRR™ is a revolutionary stock rating technology that accurately measures and rates the statistical probability, magnitude, and approximate timing of stock price declines. The Fiduciary Risk Rating™ helps advisors reduce, avoid and prevent losses.
How is it that when the market falls by 25%, 35%, 45% or any other significant decline, the account values of investment advisors' clients fall by similar amounts? If advisors are fulfilling their obligations to manage clients’ risk, why is no one in the industry able to avoid these large market losses? What exactly are the fiduciary duties of a registered investment advisor?
On 4/19/24, NVDA’s price to sales ratio was 39. In the last 6,103 trading days (24 years), NVDA had a P/S of 2.0 or less on 1,028 days (16.8%). In the future, NVDA may again have a P/S ratio less than 2. What does that imply for NVDA’s price?
Excellence wins in every profession! Success in investing, like in chess and many other endeavors, is highly dependent on reducing, avoiding and preventing losses. The tactics and strategies required to substantially reduce, avoid and prevent losses in the market are completely out of reach for average investment advisors. Countless studies have proven this.